PGL Bucharest 2027 Open Qualifier 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 13:3series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 13:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Banda Chuya ban
64%67%
GenOne · 35 mapsnearly even -3%Banda Chuya · 5 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%50%
GenOne · 21 mapedge GenOne +10%Banda Chuya · 6 maps
NukeGenOne ban
44%44%
GenOne · 14 mapsnearly even +0%Banda Chuya · 5 maps
InfernoBanda Chuya ban
60%50%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge GenOne +10%Banda Chuya · 0 maps
AnubisBanda Chuya ban
86%33%
GenOne · 10 mapsedge GenOne +53%Banda Chuya · 2 maps
CacheGenOne ban
36%33%
GenOne · 7 mapsnearly even +3%Banda Chuya · 5 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%31%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge GenOne +19%Banda Chuya · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanBanda Chuya remove Inferno
3. BanGenOne remove Cache
4. BanBanda Chuya remove Anubis
5. BanGenOne remove Nuke
6. BanBanda Chuya remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:3
GenOne 53%Banda Chuya 47%
The model gave 53% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 65%
Series resultGenOne 13:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1