CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Grêmio#201 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LNLOS NINOSwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoGrêmio pick
53%50%
Grêmio · 15 mapsnearly even +3%LOS NINOS · 0 maps
Dust2LOS NINOS ban
47%50%
Grêmio · 11 mapsnearly even -3%LOS NINOS · 0 maps
MirageGrêmio ban
31%50%
Grêmio · 9 mapsedge LOS NINOS +19%LOS NINOS · 0 maps
Ancientpossible decider
42%50%
Grêmio · 8 mapsedge LOS NINOS +8%LOS NINOS · 0 maps
NukeLOS NINOS pick
33%50%
Grêmio · 8 mapsedge LOS NINOS +17%LOS NINOS · 0 maps
CacheGrêmio ban
36%50%
Grêmio · 7 mapsedge LOS NINOS +14%LOS NINOS · 0 maps
DefaultLOS NINOS ban
75%50%
Grêmio · 4 mapsedge Grêmio +25%LOS NINOS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGrêmio remove Mirage
2. BanLOS NINOS remove Default
3. PickGrêmio take Inferno
4. PickLOS NINOS take Nuke
5. BanLOS NINOS remove Dust2
6. BanGrêmio remove Cache
DeciderAncient (42% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Grêmio 28%LOS NINOS 72%
The model gave 72% on LOS NINOS — the map was taken by LOS NINOS.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
Grêmio 56%LOS NINOS 44%
The model gave 56% on Grêmio — the map was taken by Grêmio.
Ancientprediction correct13:16
Grêmio 42%LOS NINOS 58%
The model gave 58% on LOS NINOS — the map was taken by LOS NINOS.
Model check result
Model favoriteLOS NINOS · 56%
Series resultLOS NINOS 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3