PGL Bucharest 2027 Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
FOKUS#48 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Younglings#214 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FOKUS ban
41%43%
FOKUS · 13 mapsnearly even -2%Younglings · 3 maps
CacheFOKUS pick
78%60%
FOKUS · 14 mapsedge FOKUS +18%Younglings · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
47%29%
FOKUS · 11 mapsedge FOKUS +18%Younglings · 3 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
38%50%
FOKUS · 9 mapsedge Younglings +12%Younglings · 4 maps
NukeYounglings ban
53%50%
FOKUS · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Younglings · 0 maps
InfernoYounglings ban
33%50%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge Younglings +17%Younglings · 0 maps
AnubisYounglings pick
63%50%
FOKUS · 4 mapsedge FOKUS +13%Younglings · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
2. BanYounglings remove Nuke
3. PickFOKUS take Cache
4. PickYounglings take Anubis
5. BanYounglings remove Inferno
6. BanFOKUS remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (47% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
FOKUS 66%Younglings 34%
The model gave 66% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
FOKUS 56%Younglings 44%
The model gave 56% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 70%
Series resultFOKUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2