CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#216 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSaint Sinners pick
36%53%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge Saint Sinners +17%Saint Sinners · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
42%54%
Lilmix · 8 mapsedge Saint Sinners +12%Saint Sinners · 9 maps
Dust2Lilmix ban
33%63%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Saint Sinners +30%Saint Sinners · 15 maps
DefaultLilmix pick
50%50%
Lilmix · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Saint Sinners · 10 maps
AnubisLilmix ban
38%56%
Lilmix · 4 mapsedge Saint Sinners +18%Saint Sinners · 5 maps
NukeSaint Sinners ban
50%33%
Lilmix · 0 mapsedge Lilmix +17%Saint Sinners · 8 maps
InfernoSaint Sinners ban
50%38%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Lilmix +12%Saint Sinners · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Dust2
2. BanSaint Sinners remove Nuke
3. PickLilmix take Default
4. PickSaint Sinners take Mirage
5. BanSaint Sinners remove Inferno
6. BanLilmix remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (42% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
Lilmix 21%Saint Sinners 79%
The model gave 79% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
Lilmix 41%Saint Sinners 59%
The model gave 59% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Model check result
Model favoriteSaint Sinners · 61%
Series resultSaint Sinners 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2