CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#55 in the world · win 1:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Eex-6666#72 in the world · loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
65%63%
Black Phoenix · 68 mapsnearly even +2%ex-6666 · 4 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
53%40%
Black Phoenix · 32 mapsedge Black Phoenix +13%ex-6666 · 1 map
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
42%57%
Black Phoenix · 27 mapsedge ex-6666 +15%ex-6666 · 3 maps
Nukeex-6666 pick
52%67%
Black Phoenix · 27 mapsedge ex-6666 +15%ex-6666 · 2 maps
Cacheex-6666 ban
46%50%
Black Phoenix · 24 mapsnearly even -4%ex-6666 · 0 maps
Infernoex-6666 ban
65%50%
Black Phoenix · 22 mapsedge Black Phoenix +15%ex-6666 · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
Black Phoenix · 10 mapsedge ex-6666 +10%ex-6666 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. Banex-6666 remove Cache
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. Pickex-6666 take Nuke
5. Banex-6666 remove Inferno
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Black Phoenix 40%ex-6666 60%
The model gave 60% on ex-6666 — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 56%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1