CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
BAKS#99 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheBAKS pick
65%50%
BAKS · 27 mapsedge BAKS +15%LFO 10 · 2 maps
Dust2BAKS ban
41%29%
BAKS · 18 mapsedge BAKS +12%LFO 10 · 3 maps
MirageLFO 10 pick
69%44%
BAKS · 9 mapsedge BAKS +25%LFO 10 · 5 maps
NukeLFO 10 ban
41%40%
BAKS · 13 mapsnearly even +1%LFO 10 · 1 map
InfernoBAKS ban
31%40%
BAKS · 9 mapsedge LFO 10 +9%LFO 10 · 1 map
AncientLFO 10 ban
70%40%
BAKS · 6 mapsedge BAKS +30%LFO 10 · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
71%60%
BAKS · 3 mapsedge BAKS +11%LFO 10 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBAKS remove Inferno
2. BanLFO 10 remove Nuke
3. PickBAKS take Cache
4. PickLFO 10 take Mirage
5. BanLFO 10 remove Ancient
6. BanBAKS remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (71% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
BAKS 71%LFO 10 29%
The model gave 71% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Cacheprediction missed7:13
BAKS 67%LFO 10 33%
The model gave 67% on BAKS — the map was taken by LFO 10.
Ancientprediction missed4:13
BAKS 78%LFO 10 22%
The model gave 78% on BAKS — the map was taken by LFO 10.
Model check result
Model favoriteBAKS · 61%
Series resultLFO 10 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3