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CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lavked#135 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
53%63%
Lavked · 30 mapsedge Spirit Academy +10%Spirit Academy · 12 maps
MirageLavked pick
45%44%
Lavked · 27 mapsnearly even +1%Spirit Academy · 14 maps
NukeLavked ban
44%57%
Lavked · 21 mapedge Spirit Academy +13%Spirit Academy · 19 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
42%70%
Lavked · 20 mapsedge Spirit Academy +28%Spirit Academy · 16 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy ban
53%67%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Spirit Academy +14%Spirit Academy · 5 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%44%
Lavked · 1 mapnearly even -4%Spirit Academy · 14 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
38%50%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Spirit Academy +12%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Cache
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Anubis
6. BanLavked remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (53% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed22:18
Lavked 21%Spirit Academy 79%
The model gave 79% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Lavked.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
Lavked 54%Spirit Academy 46%
The model gave 54% on Lavked — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Lavked 40%Spirit Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 54%
Series resultSpirit Academy 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3