CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#97 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Phantom#70 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSpirit Academy pick
71%58%
Spirit Academy · 20 mapsedge Spirit Academy +13%Phantom · 15 maps
NukePhantom pick
59%45%
Spirit Academy · 23 mapsedge Spirit Academy +14%Phantom · 7 maps
MiragePhantom ban
57%54%
Spirit Academy · 17 mapsnearly even +3%Phantom · 9 maps
Dust2possible decider
71%58%
Spirit Academy · 17 mapsedge Spirit Academy +13%Phantom · 8 maps
CachePhantom ban
42%33%
Spirit Academy · 15 mapsedge Spirit Academy +9%Phantom · 2 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy ban
58%42%
Spirit Academy · 8 mapsedge Spirit Academy +16%Phantom · 8 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
50%50%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom · 12 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
2. BanPhantom remove Cache
3. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
4. PickPhantom take Nuke
5. BanPhantom remove Mirage
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (71% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed10:13
Spirit Academy 63%Phantom 37%
The model gave 63% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Phantom.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
Spirit Academy 67%Phantom 33%
The model gave 67% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 57%
Series resultPhantom 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2