CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
FOKUS#52 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BAKS#106 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheFOKUS pick
77%59%
FOKUS · 18 mapsedge FOKUS +18%BAKS · 30 maps
Nukepossible decider
73%50%
FOKUS · 18 mapsedge FOKUS +23%BAKS · 16 maps
Dust2FOKUS ban
35%41%
FOKUS · 13 mapsedge BAKS +6%BAKS · 18 maps
AncientBAKS pick
65%58%
FOKUS · 13 mapsedge FOKUS +7%BAKS · 8 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
47%79%
FOKUS · 11 mapsedge BAKS +32%BAKS · 10 maps
InfernoBAKS ban
38%21%
FOKUS · 4 mapsedge FOKUS +17%BAKS · 10 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
50%50%
FOKUS · 6 mapsnearly even +0%BAKS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
2. BanBAKS remove Anubis
3. PickFOKUS take Cache
4. PickBAKS take Ancient
5. BanBAKS remove Inferno
6. BanFOKUS remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (73% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
FOKUS 17%BAKS 83%
The model gave 83% on BAKS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Nukeprediction correct16:14
FOKUS 75%BAKS 25%
The model gave 75% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 66%
Series resultFOKUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2