PGL Bucharest 2027 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#30 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Betclic#61 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEternal Fire pick
67%50%
Eternal Fire · 17 mapsedge Eternal Fire +17%Betclic · 8 maps
CacheBetclic pick
62%58%
Eternal Fire · 17 mapsnearly even +4%Betclic · 8 maps
MirageEternal Fire ban
50%45%
Eternal Fire · 16 mapsedge Eternal Fire +5%Betclic · 7 maps
Anubispossible decider
57%40%
Eternal Fire · 10 mapsedge Eternal Fire +17%Betclic · 11 maps
Dust2Betclic ban
71%67%
Eternal Fire · 17 mapsnearly even +4%Betclic · 2 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
53%50%
Eternal Fire · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Betclic · 0 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
50%54%
Eternal Fire · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Betclic · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
2. BanBetclic remove Inferno
3. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
4. PickBetclic take Cache
5. BanBetclic remove Dust2
6. BanEternal Fire remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (57% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
Eternal Fire 64%Betclic 36%
The model gave 64% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
Eternal Fire 58%Betclic 42%
The model gave 58% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Betclic.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
Eternal Fire 54%Betclic 46%
The model gave 54% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Betclic.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 64%
Series resultBetclic 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3