GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionVVP.Futureloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Black Phoenix#58 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
50%64%
VP.Future · 2 mapsedge Black Phoenix +14%Black Phoenix · 63 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
60%52%
VP.Future · 1 mapedge VP.Future +8%Black Phoenix · 29 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
60%40%
VP.Future · 1 mapedge VP.Future +20%Black Phoenix · 26 maps
NukeVP.Future ban
50%50%
VP.Future · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Black Phoenix · 26 maps
CacheVP.Future ban
50%48%
VP.Future · 0 mapsnearly even +2%Black Phoenix · 23 maps
InfernoVP.Future pick
60%67%
VP.Future · 1 mapedge Black Phoenix +7%Black Phoenix · 20 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%54%
VP.Future · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Black Phoenix · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVP.Future remove Cache
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
3. PickVP.Future take Inferno
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
6. BanVP.Future remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
VP.Future 46%Black Phoenix 54%
The model gave 54% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
VP.Future 33%Black Phoenix 67%
The model gave 67% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 80%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2