GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BAKS#112 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Oxuji#173 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeOxuji pick
50%79%
BAKS · 2 mapsedge Oxuji +29%Oxuji · 10 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%42%
BAKS · 2 mapsedge BAKS +8%Oxuji · 8 maps
InfernoOxuji ban
67%20%
BAKS · 2 mapsedge BAKS +47%Oxuji · 6 maps
AncientBAKS ban
50%63%
BAKS · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +13%Oxuji · 4 maps
DefaultBAKS ban
50%75%
BAKS · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +25%Oxuji · 4 maps
MirageBAKS pick
60%57%
BAKS · 1 mapnearly even +3%Oxuji · 3 maps
AnubisOxuji ban
50%50%
BAKS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Oxuji · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBAKS remove Ancient
2. BanOxuji remove Inferno
3. PickBAKS take Mirage
4. PickOxuji take Nuke
5. BanOxuji remove Anubis
6. BanBAKS remove Default
DeciderDust2 (50% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed9:13
BAKS 90%Oxuji 10%
The model gave 90% on BAKS — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
BAKS 19%Oxuji 81%
The model gave 81% on Oxuji — the map was taken by BAKS.
Dust2prediction missed3:13
BAKS 58%Oxuji 42%
The model gave 58% on BAKS — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Model check result
Model favoriteOxuji · 65%
Series resultOxuji 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3