PGL Bucharest 2027 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemesis#46 in the world · win 2:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EYEBALLERS#52 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEYEBALLERS pick
54%50%
Nemesis · 22 mapsnearly even +4%EYEBALLERS · 8 maps
Dust2possible decider
52%38%
Nemesis · 17 mapsedge Nemesis +14%EYEBALLERS · 4 maps
InfernoNemesis pick
72%44%
Nemesis · 14 mapsedge Nemesis +28%EYEBALLERS · 5 maps
MirageNemesis ban
40%36%
Nemesis · 11 mapsnearly even +4%EYEBALLERS · 7 maps
CacheEYEBALLERS ban
67%25%
Nemesis · 11 mapsedge Nemesis +42%EYEBALLERS · 4 maps
NukeEYEBALLERS ban
67%50%
Nemesis · 11 mapsedge Nemesis +17%EYEBALLERS · 4 maps
AnubisNemesis ban
50%55%
Nemesis · 0 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +5%EYEBALLERS · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemesis remove Anubis
2. BanEYEBALLERS remove Cache
3. PickNemesis take Inferno
4. PickEYEBALLERS take Ancient
5. BanEYEBALLERS remove Nuke
6. BanNemesis remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (52% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
Nemesis 51%EYEBALLERS 49%
The model gave 51% on Nemesis — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
Nemesis 67%EYEBALLERS 33%
The model gave 67% on Nemesis — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
Nemesis 67%EYEBALLERS 33%
The model gave 67% on Nemesis — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemesis · 67%
Series resultNemesis 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3