Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · win 13:5series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 13:5
HYPERSPIRIT#151 in the world · loss 5:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientHYPERSPIRIT ban
53%33%
Iberian Soul · 13 mapsedge Iberian Soul +20%HYPERSPIRIT · 11 maps
CacheIberian Soul ban
33%61%
Iberian Soul · 8 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +28%HYPERSPIRIT · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%50%
Iberian Soul · 10 mapsedge Iberian Soul +7%HYPERSPIRIT · 10 maps
MirageHYPERSPIRIT ban
50%46%
Iberian Soul · 10 mapsnearly even +4%HYPERSPIRIT · 9 maps
AnubisIberian Soul ban
57%50%
Iberian Soul · 3 mapsedge Iberian Soul +7%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
50%42%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +8%HYPERSPIRIT · 8 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
67%50%
Iberian Soul · 8 mapsedge Iberian Soul +17%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
4. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Ancient
5. BanIberian Soul remove Anubis
6. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Iberian Soul 54%HYPERSPIRIT 46%
The model gave 54% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 71%
Series resultIberian Soul 13:5
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1