PGL Bucharest 2027 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#61 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BBL#48 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBBL pick
50%55%
Betclic · 10 mapsedge BBL +5%BBL · 16 maps
CacheBetclic pick
64%33%
Betclic · 10 mapsedge Betclic +31%BBL · 11 maps
MirageBBL ban
54%40%
Betclic · 9 mapsedge Betclic +14%BBL · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
54%62%
Betclic · 9 mapsedge BBL +8%BBL · 9 maps
AnubisBetclic ban
38%43%
Betclic · 12 mapsedge BBL +5%BBL · 3 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
50%57%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge BBL +7%BBL · 10 maps
Dust2BBL ban
71%50%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge Betclic +21%BBL · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Inferno
2. BanBBL remove Dust2
3. PickBetclic take Cache
4. PickBBL take Nuke
5. BanBBL remove Mirage
6. BanBetclic remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (54% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
Betclic 80%BBL 20%
The model gave 80% on Betclic — the map was taken by BBL.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Betclic 42%BBL 58%
The model gave 58% on BBL — the map was taken by Betclic.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
Betclic 64%BBL 36%
The model gave 64% on Betclic — the map was taken by BBL.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBL · 58%
Series resultBBL 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3