Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#17 in the world · win 2:1series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ASTRAL#104 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
40%53%
FaZe · 6 mapsedge ASTRAL +13%ASTRAL · 13 maps
NukeFaZe pick
75%54%
FaZe · 8 mapsedge FaZe +21%ASTRAL · 9 maps
Cachepossible decider
55%50%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge FaZe +5%ASTRAL · 8 maps
Dust2FaZe ban
50%36%
FaZe · 6 mapsedge FaZe +14%ASTRAL · 7 maps
MirageASTRAL ban
50%38%
FaZe · 6 mapsedge FaZe +12%ASTRAL · 4 maps
AnubisASTRAL ban
43%43%
FaZe · 3 mapsnearly even +0%ASTRAL · 3 maps
DefaultFaZe ban
50%67%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge ASTRAL +17%ASTRAL · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Default
2. BanASTRAL remove Mirage
3. PickFaZe take Nuke
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Anubis
6. BanFaZe remove Dust2
DeciderCache (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct4:13
FaZe 34%ASTRAL 66%
The model gave 66% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
FaZe 65%ASTRAL 35%
The model gave 65% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Cacheprediction correct16:14
FaZe 55%ASTRAL 45%
The model gave 55% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 84%
Series resultFaZe 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3