Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#43 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
INFINITE#78 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageINFINITE pick
50%55%
Eternal Fire · 16 mapsedge INFINITE +5%INFINITE · 18 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire pick
64%28%
Eternal Fire · 18 mapsedge Eternal Fire +36%INFINITE · 14 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%44%
Eternal Fire · 17 mapsedge Eternal Fire +23%INFINITE · 14 maps
CacheEternal Fire ban
57%56%
Eternal Fire · 17 mapsnearly even +1%INFINITE · 5 maps
InfernoINFINITE ban
53%38%
Eternal Fire · 11 mapsedge Eternal Fire +15%INFINITE · 9 maps
AnubisINFINITE ban
56%40%
Eternal Fire · 12 mapsedge Eternal Fire +16%INFINITE · 1 map
NukeEternal Fire ban
50%42%
Eternal Fire · 0 mapsedge Eternal Fire +8%INFINITE · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
2. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
3. PickEternal Fire take Dust2
4. PickINFINITE take Mirage
5. BanINFINITE remove Inferno
6. BanEternal Fire remove Cache
DeciderAncient (67% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:1
Eternal Fire 49%INFINITE 51%
The model gave 51% on INFINITE — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Dust2prediction correct22:20
Eternal Fire 84%INFINITE 16%
The model gave 84% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 54%
Series resultEternal Fire 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2