Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
BBL#48 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BC.Game#51 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBBL pick
52%46%
BBL · 17 mapsedge BBL +6%BC.Game · 9 maps
CacheBC.Game pick
38%77%
BBL · 12 mapsedge BC.Game +39%BC.Game · 9 maps
MirageBBL ban
44%64%
BBL · 12 mapsedge BC.Game +20%BC.Game · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%56%
BBL · 10 mapsnearly even +1%BC.Game · 5 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
62%43%
BBL · 9 mapsedge BBL +19%BC.Game · 3 maps
Dust2BBL ban
50%78%
BBL · 0 mapsedge BC.Game +28%BC.Game · 5 maps
AnubisBC.Game ban
43%40%
BBL · 3 mapsnearly even +3%BC.Game · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBBL remove Dust2
2. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
3. PickBBL take Nuke
4. PickBC.Game take Cache
5. BanBC.Game remove Anubis
6. BanBBL remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (57% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct8:13
BBL 28%BC.Game 72%
The model gave 72% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Nukeprediction missed3:13
BBL 59%BC.Game 41%
The model gave 59% on BBL — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBL · 60%
Series resultBC.Game 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2