Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#44 in the world · win 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJiJieHao pick
71%53%
JiJieHao · 13 mapsedge JiJieHao +18%Iberian Soul · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
55%53%
JiJieHao · 7 mapsnearly even +2%Iberian Soul · 13 maps
CacheIberian Soul ban
43%33%
JiJieHao · 10 mapsedge JiJieHao +10%Iberian Soul · 8 maps
InfernoIberian Soul pick
50%60%
JiJieHao · 6 mapsedge Iberian Soul +10%Iberian Soul · 11 maps
AnubisJiJieHao ban
57%57%
JiJieHao · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Iberian Soul · 3 maps
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
31%50%
JiJieHao · 9 mapsedge Iberian Soul +19%Iberian Soul · 0 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
50%67%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge Iberian Soul +17%Iberian Soul · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
3. PickJiJieHao take Mirage
4. PickIberian Soul take Inferno
5. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
6. BanJiJieHao remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (55% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct3:13
JiJieHao 37%Iberian Soul 63%
The model gave 63% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
JiJieHao 70%Iberian Soul 30%
The model gave 70% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
JiJieHao 52%Iberian Soul 48%
The model gave 52% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 56%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3