CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW#61 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ASTRAL#97 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
43%57%
SAW · 3 mapsedge ASTRAL +14%ASTRAL · 10 maps
Dust2ASTRAL ban
50%50%
SAW · 4 mapsnearly even +0%ASTRAL · 6 maps
InfernoASTRAL ban
71%30%
SAW · 3 mapsedge SAW +41%ASTRAL · 6 maps
MirageSAW ban
33%55%
SAW · 2 mapsedge ASTRAL +22%ASTRAL · 7 maps
NukeSAW ban
33%57%
SAW · 2 mapsedge ASTRAL +24%ASTRAL · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%60%
SAW · 2 mapsedge ASTRAL +10%ASTRAL · 1 map
DefaultSAW pick
50%60%
SAW · 0 mapsedge ASTRAL +10%ASTRAL · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW remove Mirage
2. BanASTRAL remove Inferno
3. PickSAW take Default
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Dust2
6. BanSAW remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
SAW 33%ASTRAL 67%
The model gave 67% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Anubisprediction correct16:19
SAW 43%ASTRAL 57%
The model gave 57% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Model check result
Model favoriteASTRAL · 66%
Series resultASTRAL 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2