CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#209 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Honvéd pick
39%50%
Honvéd · 34 mapsedge Lavked +11%Lavked · 28 maps
MirageLavked pick
42%41%
Honvéd · 27 mapsnearly even +1%Lavked · 25 maps
Ancientpossible decider
40%42%
Honvéd · 11 mapsnearly even -2%Lavked · 20 maps
InfernoLavked ban
42%33%
Honvéd · 15 mapsedge Honvéd +9%Lavked · 8 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
43%43%
Honvéd · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Lavked · 19 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
36%47%
Honvéd · 7 mapsedge Lavked +11%Lavked · 13 maps
DefaultLavked ban
56%38%
Honvéd · 12 mapsedge Honvéd +18%Lavked · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
2. BanLavked remove Inferno
3. PickHonvéd take Dust2
4. PickLavked take Mirage
5. BanLavked remove Default
6. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (40% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Honvéd 62%Lavked 38%
The model gave 62% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Lavked.
Mirageprediction correct14:16
Honvéd 48%Lavked 52%
The model gave 52% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 62%
Series resultLavked 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2