CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#209 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Honvéd pick
39%36%
Honvéd · 34 mapsnearly even +3%Bebop · 18 maps
MirageBebop ban
41%27%
Honvéd · 28 mapsedge Honvéd +14%Bebop · 11 maps
InfernoBebop ban
38%36%
Honvéd · 17 mapsnearly even +2%Bebop · 7 maps
CacheHonvéd ban
41%44%
Honvéd · 13 mapsnearly even -3%Bebop · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%56%
Honvéd · 12 mapsnearly even +0%Bebop · 5 maps
NukeBebop pick
43%41%
Honvéd · 3 mapsnearly even +2%Bebop · 13 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
36%36%
Honvéd · 7 mapsnearly even +0%Bebop · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
2. BanBebop remove Inferno
3. PickHonvéd take Dust2
4. PickBebop take Nuke
5. BanBebop remove Mirage
6. BanHonvéd remove Cache
DeciderDefault (56% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed15:19
Honvéd 50%Bebop 50%
The model gave 50% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Bebop.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
Honvéd 68%Bebop 32%
The model gave 68% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 56%
Series resultBebop 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2