CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ryvex#206 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Phantom Academy#174 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientRyvex pick
57%50%
Ryvex · 10 mapsedge Ryvex +7%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
MiragePhantom Academy pick
40%67%
Ryvex · 6 mapsedge Phantom Academy +27%Phantom Academy · 14 maps
Dust2Phantom Academy ban
36%46%
Ryvex · 7 mapsedge Phantom Academy +10%Phantom Academy · 9 maps
NukeRyvex ban
30%50%
Ryvex · 6 mapsedge Phantom Academy +20%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
CachePhantom Academy ban
38%33%
Ryvex · 4 mapsedge Ryvex +5%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%40%
Ryvex · 0 mapsedge Ryvex +10%Phantom Academy · 6 maps
AnubisRyvex ban
50%43%
Ryvex · 0 mapsedge Ryvex +7%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRyvex remove Anubis
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Cache
3. PickRyvex take Ancient
4. PickPhantom Academy take Mirage
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Dust2
6. BanRyvex remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
Ryvex 37%Phantom Academy 63%
The model gave 63% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Ryvex.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Ryvex 60%Phantom Academy 40%
The model gave 60% on Ryvex — the map was taken by Ryvex.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom Academy · 50%
Series resultRyvex 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2