CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Falcons Force#134 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Phantom Academy#174 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragePhantom Academy pick
53%68%
Falcons Force · 13 mapsedge Phantom Academy +15%Phantom Academy · 15 maps
CacheFalcons Force pick
67%33%
Falcons Force · 11 mapsedge Falcons Force +34%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
NukeFalcons Force ban
36%53%
Falcons Force · 10 mapsedge Phantom Academy +17%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
56%47%
Falcons Force · 5 mapsedge Falcons Force +9%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
43%40%
Falcons Force · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
InfernoPhantom Academy ban
56%50%
Falcons Force · 14 mapsedge Falcons Force +6%Phantom Academy · 0 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
55%43%
Falcons Force · 7 mapsedge Falcons Force +12%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Inferno
3. PickFalcons Force take Cache
4. PickPhantom Academy take Mirage
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
6. BanFalcons Force remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (56% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed8:13
Falcons Force 82%Phantom Academy 18%
The model gave 82% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
Falcons Force 30%Phantom Academy 70%
The model gave 70% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 55%
Series resultPhantom Academy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2