CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
DONSTU#203 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Quintessence#162 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheQuintessence pick
30%56%
DONSTU · 6 mapsedge Quintessence +26%Quintessence · 5 maps
Dust2DONSTU ban
50%63%
DONSTU · 6 mapsedge Quintessence +13%Quintessence · 4 maps
AnubisQuintessence ban
46%50%
DONSTU · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Quintessence · 0 maps
NukeQuintessence ban
30%40%
DONSTU · 6 mapsedge Quintessence +10%Quintessence · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
60%71%
DONSTU · 1 mapedge Quintessence +11%Quintessence · 3 maps
MirageDONSTU ban
40%71%
DONSTU · 1 mapedge Quintessence +31%Quintessence · 3 maps
AncientDONSTU pick
57%50%
DONSTU · 3 mapsedge DONSTU +7%Quintessence · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
2. BanQuintessence remove Anubis
3. PickDONSTU take Ancient
4. PickQuintessence take Cache
5. BanQuintessence remove Nuke
6. BanDONSTU remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (60% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
DONSTU 60%Quintessence 40%
The model gave 60% on DONSTU — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
DONSTU 23%Quintessence 77%
The model gave 77% on Quintessence — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteDONSTU · 53%
Series resultDONSTU 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2