CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quintessence#162 in the world · win 2:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheQuintessence pick
50%63%
Quintessence · 6 mapsedge TitanFlow +13%TitanFlow · 4 maps
MirageTitanFlow pick
71%60%
Quintessence · 3 mapsedge Quintessence +11%TitanFlow · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
63%57%
Quintessence · 4 mapsedge Quintessence +6%TitanFlow · 3 maps
InfernoTitanFlow ban
71%38%
Quintessence · 3 mapsedge Quintessence +33%TitanFlow · 4 maps
AnubisQuintessence ban
50%57%
Quintessence · 0 mapsedge TitanFlow +7%TitanFlow · 3 maps
DefaultQuintessence ban
50%67%
Quintessence · 0 mapsedge TitanFlow +17%TitanFlow · 2 maps
AncientTitanFlow ban
40%50%
Quintessence · 1 mapedge TitanFlow +10%TitanFlow · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQuintessence remove Anubis
2. BanTitanFlow remove Ancient
3. PickQuintessence take Cache
4. PickTitanFlow take Mirage
5. BanTitanFlow remove Inferno
6. BanQuintessence remove Default
DeciderDust2 (63% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
Quintessence 60%TitanFlow 40%
The model gave 60% on Quintessence — the map was taken by TitanFlow.
Cacheprediction missed16:14
Quintessence 40%TitanFlow 60%
The model gave 60% on TitanFlow — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Dust2prediction correct19:17
Quintessence 56%TitanFlow 44%
The model gave 56% on Quintessence — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuintessence · 68%
Series resultQuintessence 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3