PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#21 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DENDELE#49 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
63%46%
Nemiga · 26 mapsedge Nemiga +17%DENDELE · 9 maps
MirageDENDELE ban
67%50%
Nemiga · 20 mapsedge Nemiga +17%DENDELE · 12 maps
CacheDENDELE pick
65%56%
Nemiga · 16 mapsedge Nemiga +9%DENDELE · 12 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
67%50%
Nemiga · 17 mapsedge Nemiga +17%DENDELE · 6 maps
NukeNemiga ban
65%55%
Nemiga · 16 mapsedge Nemiga +10%DENDELE · 7 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
62%50%
Nemiga · 22 mapsedge Nemiga +12%DENDELE · 0 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
60%62%
Nemiga · 1 mapnearly even -2%DENDELE · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickDENDELE take Cache
5. BanDENDELE remove Mirage
6. BanNemiga remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (63% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
Nemiga 58%DENDELE 42%
The model gave 58% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
Nemiga 69%DENDELE 31%
The model gave 69% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 62%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2