PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vitality#2 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MOUZ#4 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vitality pick
73%61%
Vitality · 18 mapsedge Vitality +12%MOUZ · 14 maps
MirageMOUZ pick
71%77%
Vitality · 13 mapsedge MOUZ +6%MOUZ · 18 maps
CacheMOUZ ban
69%46%
Vitality · 12 mapsedge Vitality +23%MOUZ · 9 maps
NukeVitality ban
55%63%
Vitality · 7 mapsedge MOUZ +8%MOUZ · 12 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%64%
Vitality · 8 mapsnearly even +3%MOUZ · 7 maps
AnubisMOUZ ban
43%50%
Vitality · 10 mapsedge MOUZ +7%MOUZ · 0 maps
AncientVitality ban
50%38%
Vitality · 0 mapsedge Vitality +12%MOUZ · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVitality remove Ancient
2. BanMOUZ remove Anubis
3. PickVitality take Dust2
4. PickMOUZ take Mirage
5. BanMOUZ remove Cache
6. BanVitality remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (67% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
Vitality 39%MOUZ 61%
The model gave 61% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Infernoprediction missed7:13
Vitality 56%MOUZ 44%
The model gave 56% on Vitality — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 68%
Series resultMOUZ 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2