CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#130 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PCIFIC#120 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PCIFIC pick
44%59%
Rune Eaters · 23 mapsedge PCIFIC +15%PCIFIC · 25 maps
MirageRune Eaters pick
65%46%
Rune Eaters · 16 mapsedge Rune Eaters +19%PCIFIC · 9 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
60%41%
Rune Eaters · 1 mapedge Rune Eaters +19%PCIFIC · 18 maps
Infernopossible decider
45%46%
Rune Eaters · 7 mapsnearly even -1%PCIFIC · 9 maps
AnubisPCIFIC ban
71%25%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +46%PCIFIC · 12 maps
CacheRune Eaters ban
60%67%
Rune Eaters · 6 mapsedge PCIFIC +7%PCIFIC · 8 maps
AncientPCIFIC ban
50%50%
Rune Eaters · 12 mapsnearly even +0%PCIFIC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
2. BanPCIFIC remove Ancient
3. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
4. PickPCIFIC take Dust2
5. BanPCIFIC remove Anubis
6. BanRune Eaters remove Cache
DeciderInferno (45% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:3
Rune Eaters 39%PCIFIC 61%
The model gave 61% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
Rune Eaters 46%PCIFIC 54%
The model gave 54% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by PCIFIC.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Rune Eaters 43%PCIFIC 57%
The model gave 57% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by PCIFIC.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 52%
Series resultPCIFIC 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3