CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#138 in the world · win 2:0series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Bushido Wildcats#113 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
60%69%
Omega · 16 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +9%Bushido Wildcats · 48 maps
Miragepossible decider
58%55%
Omega · 8 mapsnearly even +3%Bushido Wildcats · 38 maps
NukeOmega ban
57%55%
Omega · 3 mapsnearly even +2%Bushido Wildcats · 29 maps
CacheBushido Wildcats ban
44%54%
Omega · 5 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Bushido Wildcats · 20 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
50%50%
Omega · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 14 maps
AnubisOmega ban
50%41%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Omega +9%Bushido Wildcats · 13 maps
DefaultBushido Wildcats pick
50%79%
Omega · 0 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +29%Bushido Wildcats · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Anubis
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
3. PickOmega take Dust2
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Default
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Cache
6. BanOmega remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (58% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct16:12
Omega 57%Bushido Wildcats 43%
The model gave 57% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
Omega 37%Bushido Wildcats 63%
The model gave 63% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Omega.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 63%
Series resultOmega 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2