GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#58 in the world · win 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xcity#225 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Xcity ban
63%40%
Black Phoenix · 61 mapedge Black Phoenix +23%Xcity · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
52%40%
Black Phoenix · 29 mapsedge Black Phoenix +12%Xcity · 1 map
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
38%40%
Black Phoenix · 25 mapsnearly even -2%Xcity · 1 map
NukeXcity ban
50%50%
Black Phoenix · 26 mapsnearly even +0%Xcity · 0 maps
CacheBlack Phoenix ban
46%40%
Black Phoenix · 22 mapsedge Black Phoenix +6%Xcity · 1 map
InfernoBlack Phoenix pick
67%40%
Black Phoenix · 20 mapsedge Black Phoenix +27%Xcity · 1 map
DefaultXcity pick
54%60%
Black Phoenix · 9 mapsedge Xcity +6%Xcity · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. BanXcity remove Dust2
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Inferno
4. PickXcity take Default
5. BanXcity remove Nuke
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Cache
DeciderMirage (52% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
Black Phoenix 45%Xcity 55%
The model gave 55% on Xcity — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Black Phoenix 74%Xcity 26%
The model gave 74% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 78%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2