CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Revise#235 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRevise pick
40%50%
Banda Chuya · 11 mapsedge Revise +10%Revise · 8 maps
AncientBanda Chuya pick
55%40%
Banda Chuya · 7 mapsedge Banda Chuya +15%Revise · 6 maps
CacheRevise ban
30%30%
Banda Chuya · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Revise · 6 maps
Dust2Banda Chuya ban
60%50%
Banda Chuya · 6 mapsedge Banda Chuya +10%Revise · 6 maps
NukeRevise ban
36%50%
Banda Chuya · 7 mapsedge Revise +14%Revise · 0 maps
AnubisBanda Chuya ban
33%50%
Banda Chuya · 2 mapsedge Revise +17%Revise · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%67%
Banda Chuya · 2 mapsedge Revise +17%Revise · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBanda Chuya remove Anubis
2. BanRevise remove Nuke
3. PickBanda Chuya take Ancient
4. PickRevise take Mirage
5. BanRevise remove Cache
6. BanBanda Chuya remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
Banda Chuya 67%Revise 33%
The model gave 67% on Banda Chuya — the map was taken by Banda Chuya.
Cacheprediction missed13:4
Banda Chuya 47%Revise 53%
The model gave 53% on Revise — the map was taken by Banda Chuya.
Model check result
Model favoriteBanda Chuya · 61%
Series resultBanda Chuya 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2