CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#147 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Ryvex#206 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientRyvex pick
50%54%
Noir Verse · 18 mapsnearly even -4%Ryvex · 9 maps
MirageNoir Verse pick
56%44%
Noir Verse · 21 mapedge Noir Verse +12%Ryvex · 5 maps
Dust2Ryvex ban
52%30%
Noir Verse · 19 mapsedge Noir Verse +22%Ryvex · 6 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
44%30%
Noir Verse · 14 mapsedge Noir Verse +14%Ryvex · 6 maps
AnubisRyvex ban
43%50%
Noir Verse · 19 mapsedge Ryvex +7%Ryvex · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
53%38%
Noir Verse · 13 mapsedge Noir Verse +15%Ryvex · 4 maps
DefaultNoir Verse ban
41%50%
Noir Verse · 13 mapsedge Ryvex +9%Ryvex · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
2. BanRyvex remove Anubis
3. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
4. PickRyvex take Ancient
5. BanRyvex remove Dust2
6. BanNoir Verse remove Default
DeciderCache (53% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Noir Verse 64%Ryvex 36%
The model gave 64% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
Noir Verse 43%Ryvex 57%
The model gave 57% on Ryvex — the map was taken by Ryvex.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
Noir Verse 72%Ryvex 28%
The model gave 72% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Ryvex.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoir Verse · 68%
Series resultRyvex 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3