CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Phantom#88 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Mirageex-RUBY pick
55%56%
ex-RUBY · 7 mapsnearly even -1%Phantom · 5 maps
Dust2Phantom pick
73%75%
ex-RUBY · 7 mapsnearly even -2%Phantom · 4 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
33%44%
ex-RUBY · 5 mapsedge Phantom +11%Phantom · 5 maps
NukePhantom ban
80%57%
ex-RUBY · 6 mapsedge ex-RUBY +23%Phantom · 3 maps
OverpassPhantom ban
44%60%
ex-RUBY · 5 mapsedge Phantom +16%Phantom · 1 map
Anubisex-RUBY ban
60%50%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapedge ex-RUBY +10%Phantom · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
2. BanPhantom remove Nuke
3. Pickex-RUBY take Mirage
4. PickPhantom take Dust2
5. BanPhantom remove Overpass
6. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
ex-RUBY 50%Phantom 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Overpassprediction missed13:10
ex-RUBY 32%Phantom 68%
The model gave 68% on Phantom — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 56%
Series resultex-RUBY 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2