FRAG Got Your 6 Gaming 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Marsborne#82 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSportsBetExpert ban
67%50%
Marsborne · 2 mapsedge Marsborne +17%SportsBetExpert · 0 maps
MirageMarsborne pick
50%50%
Marsborne · 2 mapsnearly even +0%SportsBetExpert · 0 maps
AnubisSportsBetExpert pick
60%50%
Marsborne · 1 mapedge Marsborne +10%SportsBetExpert · 0 maps
Dust2Marsborne ban
40%50%
Marsborne · 1 mapedge SportsBetExpert +10%SportsBetExpert · 0 maps
InfernoSportsBetExpert ban
60%50%
Marsborne · 1 mapedge Marsborne +10%SportsBetExpert · 0 maps
OverpassMarsborne ban
60%50%
Marsborne · 1 mapedge Marsborne +10%SportsBetExpert · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMarsborne remove Dust2
2. BanSportsBetExpert remove Ancient
3. PickMarsborne take Mirage
4. PickSportsBetExpert take Anubis
5. BanSportsBetExpert remove Inferno
6. BanMarsborne remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Marsborne 57%SportsBetExpert 43%
The model gave 57% on Marsborne — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Anubisprediction missed2:13
Marsborne 63%SportsBetExpert 37%
The model gave 63% on Marsborne — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Model check result
Model favoriteMarsborne · 76%
Series resultSportsBetExpert 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2