Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EAC#76 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeGenOne pick
53%50%
GenOne · 15 mapsnearly even +3%EAC · 4 maps
Dust2EAC ban
67%50%
GenOne · 17 mapsedge GenOne +17%EAC · 0 maps
AncientEAC ban
46%29%
GenOne · 9 mapsedge GenOne +17%EAC · 3 maps
OverpassEAC pick
36%63%
GenOne · 7 mapsedge EAC +27%EAC · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
70%50%
GenOne · 6 mapsedge GenOne +20%EAC · 0 maps
AnubisGenOne ban
50%50%
GenOne · 2 mapsnearly even +0%EAC · 0 maps
DefaultGenOne ban
33%50%
GenOne · 2 mapsedge EAC +17%EAC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Anubis
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. PickGenOne take Nuke
4. PickEAC take Overpass
5. BanEAC remove Ancient
6. BanGenOne remove Default
DeciderInferno (70% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:7
GenOne 23%EAC 77%
The model gave 77% on EAC — the map was taken by GenOne.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
GenOne 56%EAC 44%
The model gave 56% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 52%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2