Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
Metizport#59 in the worldseries probability now
49%51%
was 52% pre-match
In live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMetizport pick
57%50%
Metizport · 19 mapsedge Metizport +7%ex-RUSTEC · 38 maps
Dust2Metizport ban
50%55%
Metizport · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-RUSTEC · 47 maps
Anubisex-RUSTEC pick
58%71%
Metizport · 8 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +13%ex-RUSTEC · 31 map
Miragepossible decider
59%50%
Metizport · 13 mapsedge Metizport +9%ex-RUSTEC · 22 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
61%55%
Metizport · 14 mapsedge Metizport +6%ex-RUSTEC · 16 maps
CacheMetizport ban
45%47%
Metizport · 7 mapsnearly even -2%ex-RUSTEC · 15 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
62%57%
Metizport · 9 mapsedge Metizport +5%ex-RUSTEC · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMetizport remove Dust2
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickMetizport take Nuke
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Anubis
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
6. BanMetizport remove Cache
DeciderMirage (59% / 50%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Anubisnot played · ex-RUSTEC pick— : —
Metizport 33%ex-RUSTEC 67%
Historical winrate over 3 months: Metizport 58% (8 maps) vs 71% (31 maps) for ex-RUSTEC.
Nukenot played · Metizport pick— : —
Metizport 59%ex-RUSTEC 41%
Historical winrate over 3 months: Metizport 57% (19 maps) vs 50% (38 maps) for ex-RUSTEC.
Ancientnot played · decider— : —
Metizport 55%ex-RUSTEC 45%
Historical winrate over 3 months: Metizport 62% (9 maps) vs 57% (10 maps) for ex-RUSTEC.