Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
pre-match prediction
Sangal#45 in the worldseries probability
66%34%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Aurora Young Blud#212 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheSangal pick
68%50%
Sangal · 15 mapsedge Sangal +18%Aurora Young Blud · 0 maps
NukeAurora Young Blud ban
74%50%
Sangal · 15 mapsedge Sangal +24%Aurora Young Blud · 0 maps
Dust2Aurora Young Blud pick
44%50%
Sangal · 12 mapsedge Aurora Young Blud +6%Aurora Young Blud · 0 maps
AnubisAurora Young Blud ban
60%50%
Sangal · 11 mapsedge Sangal +10%Aurora Young Blud · 0 maps
MirageSangal ban
53%50%
Sangal · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Aurora Young Blud · 0 maps
AncientSangal ban
45%50%
Sangal · 7 mapsedge Aurora Young Blud +5%Aurora Young Blud · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSangal remove Ancient
2. BanAurora Young Blud remove Nuke
3. PickSangal take Cache
4. PickAurora Young Blud take Dust2
5. BanAurora Young Blud remove Anubis
6. BanSangal remove Mirage