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Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
pre-match prediction
FOKUS#48 in the world
series probability
42%58%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
ex-Zero Tenacity#58 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheFOKUS pick
79%74%
FOKUS · 15 mapsedge FOKUS +5%ex-Zero Tenacity · 30 maps
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
39%66%
FOKUS · 14 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +27%ex-Zero Tenacity · 25 maps
Nukepossible decider
58%56%
FOKUS · 15 mapsnearly even +2%ex-Zero Tenacity · 21 map
MirageFOKUS ban
38%52%
FOKUS · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +14%ex-Zero Tenacity · 17 maps
InfernoFOKUS ban
33%65%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +32%ex-Zero Tenacity · 19 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
56%62%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +6%ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
53%50%
FOKUS · 13 mapsnearly even +3%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Inferno
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickFOKUS take Cache
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
6. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (58% / 56%)