CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
benched gods#196 in the world · win 2:0series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Illyrians#126 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragebenched gods ban
30%60%
benched gods · 16 mapsedge Illyrians +30%Illyrians · 16 maps
Ancientbenched gods ban
43%58%
benched gods · 17 mapsedge Illyrians +15%Illyrians · 8 maps
Dust2Illyrians pick
40%44%
benched gods · 11 mapsnearly even -4%Illyrians · 14 maps
CacheIllyrians ban
59%60%
benched gods · 18 mapsnearly even -1%Illyrians · 6 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%75%
benched gods · 16 mapsedge Illyrians +25%Illyrians · 4 maps
Defaultbenched gods pick
88%50%
benched gods · 12 mapsedge benched gods +38%Illyrians · 2 maps
InfernoIllyrians ban
50%50%
benched gods · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Illyrians · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banbenched gods remove Mirage
2. BanIllyrians remove Cache
3. Pickbenched gods take Default
4. PickIllyrians take Dust2
5. BanIllyrians remove Inferno
6. Banbenched gods remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (50% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
benched gods 20%Illyrians 80%
The model gave 80% on Illyrians — the map was taken by benched gods.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
benched gods 88%Illyrians 12%
The model gave 88% on benched gods — the map was taken by benched gods.
Model check result
Model favoriteIllyrians · 64%
Series resultbenched gods 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2