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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Falcons Force#134 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MAYBE#176 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMAYBE pick
50%48%
Falcons Force · 12 mapsnearly even +2%MAYBE · 17 maps
CacheFalcons Force pick
71%36%
Falcons Force · 10 mapsedge Falcons Force +35%MAYBE · 7 maps
AncientFalcons Force ban
57%40%
Falcons Force · 3 mapsedge Falcons Force +17%MAYBE · 11 maps
InfernoMAYBE ban
59%50%
Falcons Force · 13 mapsedge Falcons Force +9%MAYBE · 0 maps
NukeMAYBE ban
31%38%
Falcons Force · 9 mapsedge MAYBE +7%MAYBE · 4 maps
Anubispossible decider
55%50%
Falcons Force · 7 mapsedge Falcons Force +5%MAYBE · 4 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
33%42%
Falcons Force · 2 mapsedge MAYBE +9%MAYBE · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
2. BanMAYBE remove Inferno
3. PickFalcons Force take Cache
4. PickMAYBE take Mirage
5. BanMAYBE remove Nuke
6. BanFalcons Force remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed16:14
Falcons Force 49%MAYBE 51%
The model gave 51% on MAYBE — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Ancientprediction missed5:13
Falcons Force 69%MAYBE 31%
The model gave 69% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by MAYBE.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
Falcons Force 41%MAYBE 59%
The model gave 59% on MAYBE — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 57%
Series resultFalcons Force 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3