CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
UPGRADE#74 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lavked pick
53%52%
UPGRADE · 15 mapsnearly even +1%Lavked · 29 maps
AnubisUPGRADE pick
57%47%
UPGRADE · 19 mapsedge UPGRADE +10%Lavked · 13 maps
MirageUPGRADE ban
38%45%
UPGRADE · 4 mapsedge Lavked +7%Lavked · 27 maps
Ancientpossible decider
64%42%
UPGRADE · 7 mapsedge UPGRADE +22%Lavked · 20 maps
NukeUPGRADE ban
42%43%
UPGRADE · 8 mapsnearly even -1%Lavked · 19 maps
InfernoLavked ban
57%38%
UPGRADE · 3 mapsedge UPGRADE +19%Lavked · 9 maps
CacheLavked ban
33%40%
UPGRADE · 5 mapsedge Lavked +7%Lavked · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUPGRADE remove Mirage
2. BanLavked remove Cache
3. PickUPGRADE take Anubis
4. PickLavked take Dust2
5. BanLavked remove Inferno
6. BanUPGRADE remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (64% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
UPGRADE 45%Lavked 55%
The model gave 55% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Anubisprediction missed5:13
UPGRADE 62%Lavked 38%
The model gave 62% on UPGRADE — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteUPGRADE · 75%
Series resultLavked 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2