WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · win 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cachepossible decider
52%50%
K27 · 25 mapsnearly even +2%WISP · 0 maps
MirageK27 pick
67%50%
K27 · 20 mapsedge K27 +17%WISP · 0 maps
NukeK27 ban
50%50%
K27 · 20 mapsnearly even +0%WISP · 0 maps
AncientWISP pick
43%50%
K27 · 17 mapsedge WISP +7%WISP · 0 maps
AnubisWISP ban
69%50%
K27 · 9 mapsedge K27 +19%WISP · 0 maps
Dust2K27 ban
38%50%
K27 · 9 mapsedge WISP +12%WISP · 0 maps
DefaultWISP ban
60%50%
K27 · 1 mapedge K27 +10%WISP · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Dust2
2. BanWISP remove Anubis
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. PickWISP take Ancient
5. BanWISP remove Default
6. BanK27 remove Nuke
DeciderCache (52% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:3
K27 36%WISP 64%
The model gave 64% on WISP — the map was taken by K27.
Cacheprediction correct13:1
K27 55%WISP 45%
The model gave 55% on K27 — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 83%
Series resultK27 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2