CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
AM#57 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeJust Players ban
58%50%
AM · 8 mapsedge AM +8%Just Players · 6 maps
Dust2AM ban
18%33%
AM · 7 mapsedge Just Players +15%Just Players · 5 maps
MirageJust Players pick
63%50%
AM · 4 mapsedge AM +13%Just Players · 6 maps
AncientAM ban
50%50%
AM · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Just Players · 4 maps
OverpassAM pick
75%57%
AM · 4 mapsedge AM +18%Just Players · 3 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
63%50%
AM · 4 mapsedge AM +13%Just Players · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%40%
AM · 1 mapedge AM +20%Just Players · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAM remove Ancient
2. BanJust Players remove Inferno
3. PickAM take Overpass
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Nuke
6. BanAM remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed10:13
AM 72%Just Players 28%
The model gave 72% on AM — the map was taken by Just Players.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
AM 47%Just Players 53%
The model gave 53% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteAM · 71%
Series resultJust Players 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2