CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
DAMAJUANA#233 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HHacha#210 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheDAMAJUANA pick
64%50%
DAMAJUANA · 7 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +14%Hacha · 0 maps
InfernoHacha ban
40%50%
DAMAJUANA · 6 mapsedge Hacha +10%Hacha · 0 maps
MirageHacha pick
38%67%
DAMAJUANA · 4 mapsedge Hacha +29%Hacha · 2 maps
AncientDAMAJUANA ban
38%60%
DAMAJUANA · 4 mapsedge Hacha +22%Hacha · 1 map
AnubisHacha ban
33%50%
DAMAJUANA · 5 mapsedge Hacha +17%Hacha · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
63%40%
DAMAJUANA · 4 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +23%Hacha · 1 map
Dust2DAMAJUANA ban
50%50%
DAMAJUANA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Hacha · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDAMAJUANA remove Dust2
2. BanHacha remove Inferno
3. PickDAMAJUANA take Cache
4. PickHacha take Mirage
5. BanHacha remove Anubis
6. BanDAMAJUANA remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (63% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
DAMAJUANA 26%Hacha 74%
The model gave 74% on Hacha — the map was taken by Hacha.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
DAMAJUANA 43%Hacha 57%
The model gave 57% on Hacha — the map was taken by DAMAJUANA.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
DAMAJUANA 50%Hacha 50%
The model gave 50% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by Hacha.
Model check result
Model favoriteHacha · 51%
Series resultHacha 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3