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IEM Beijing 2026 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Aurora#5 in the world
series probability
48%52%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Liquid#23 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheAurora ban
57%53%
Aurora · 10 mapsnearly even +4%Liquid · 15 maps
Miragepossible decider
58%71%
Aurora · 15 mapsedge Liquid +13%Liquid · 10 maps
AnubisAurora pick
69%60%
Aurora · 12 mapsedge Aurora +9%Liquid · 11 maps
InfernoLiquid pick
50%73%
Aurora · 12 mapsedge Liquid +23%Liquid · 11 maps
NukeLiquid ban
58%47%
Aurora · 8 mapsedge Aurora +11%Liquid · 13 maps
Dust2Liquid ban
57%38%
Aurora · 10 mapsedge Aurora +19%Liquid · 9 maps
AncientAurora ban
40%43%
Aurora · 1 mapnearly even -3%Liquid · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAurora remove Ancient
2. BanLiquid remove Dust2
3. PickAurora take Anubis
4. PickLiquid take Inferno
5. BanLiquid remove Nuke
6. BanAurora remove Cache
DeciderMirage (58% / 71%)