RLG Tesla Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTU#43 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GamerLegion#27 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheGamerLegion pick
63%77%
HOTU · 20 mapsedge GamerLegion +14%GamerLegion · 9 maps
Dust2HOTU pick
64%45%
HOTU · 21 mapedge HOTU +19%GamerLegion · 7 maps
AncientHOTU ban
56%50%
HOTU · 14 mapsedge HOTU +6%GamerLegion · 12 maps
NukeHOTU ban
56%57%
HOTU · 12 mapsnearly even -1%GamerLegion · 10 maps
MirageGamerLegion ban
71%31%
HOTU · 10 mapsedge HOTU +40%GamerLegion · 9 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
55%50%
HOTU · 16 mapsedge HOTU +5%GamerLegion · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%40%
HOTU · 3 mapsedge HOTU +17%GamerLegion · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Ancient
2. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
3. PickHOTU take Dust2
4. PickGamerLegion take Cache
5. BanGamerLegion remove Mirage
6. BanHOTU remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (57% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
HOTU 31%GamerLegion 69%
The model gave 69% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by HOTU.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
HOTU 71%GamerLegion 29%
The model gave 71% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 51%
Series resultHOTU 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2