RLG Tesla Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#22 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FaZe#18 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageB8 pick
53%69%
B8 · 15 mapsedge FaZe +16%FaZe · 9 maps
Dust2FaZe ban
60%36%
B8 · 11 mapsedge B8 +24%FaZe · 10 maps
Ancientpossible decider
62%43%
B8 · 9 mapsedge B8 +19%FaZe · 10 maps
NukeFaZe pick
50%67%
B8 · 4 mapsedge FaZe +17%FaZe · 11 maps
CacheB8 ban
56%55%
B8 · 5 mapsnearly even +1%FaZe · 7 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
45%50%
B8 · 7 mapsedge FaZe +5%FaZe · 0 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%44%
B8 · 0 mapsedge B8 +6%FaZe · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanFaZe remove Inferno
3. PickB8 take Mirage
4. PickFaZe take Nuke
5. BanFaZe remove Dust2
6. BanB8 remove Cache
DeciderAncient (62% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
B8 75%FaZe 25%
The model gave 75% on B8 — the map was taken by FaZe.
Nukeprediction correct5:13
B8 31%FaZe 69%
The model gave 69% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 55%
Series resultFaZe 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2