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DFRAG Invitational 2026 · BO5
pre-match prediction
FlyQuest#66 in the world
series probability
73%27%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Alter Ego#127 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Alter Ego pick
82%62%
FlyQuest · 13 mapsedge FlyQuest +20%Alter Ego · 17 maps
InfernoFlyQuest pick
76%62%
FlyQuest · 17 mapsedge FlyQuest +14%Alter Ego · 9 maps
AncientFlyQuest ban
55%69%
FlyQuest · 7 mapsedge Alter Ego +14%Alter Ego · 12 maps
AnubisFlyQuest pick
71%67%
FlyQuest · 10 mapsnearly even +4%Alter Ego · 2 maps
CacheAlter Ego pick
78%60%
FlyQuest · 5 mapsedge FlyQuest +18%Alter Ego · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%43%
FlyQuest · 2 mapsedge FlyQuest +7%Alter Ego · 3 maps
NukeAlter Ego ban
71%50%
FlyQuest · 3 mapsedge FlyQuest +21%Alter Ego · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Ancient
2. BanAlter Ego remove Nuke
3. PickFlyQuest take Inferno
4. PickAlter Ego take Dust2
5. PickFlyQuest take Anubis
6. PickAlter Ego take Cache
DeciderDefault (50% / 43%)