CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALKA#129 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
64%50%
UNO MILLE · 10 mapsedge UNO MILLE +14%ALKA · 0 maps
InfernoALKA ban
60%50%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%ALKA · 0 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
44%60%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsedge ALKA +16%ALKA · 1 map
NukeUNO MILLE ban
50%71%
UNO MILLE · 2 mapsedge ALKA +21%ALKA · 3 maps
OverpassALKA pick
63%60%
UNO MILLE · 4 mapsnearly even +3%ALKA · 1 map
AnubisALKA ban
71%50%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsedge UNO MILLE +21%ALKA · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
UNO MILLE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALKA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Nuke
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
4. PickALKA take Overpass
5. BanALKA remove Inferno
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:6
UNO MILLE 74%ALKA 26%
The model gave 74% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
UNO MILLE 26%ALKA 74%
The model gave 74% on ALKA — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 57%
Series resultUNO MILLE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2